Bridge: Why The Opportunity Party won't get 5% | Ryan Bridge TODAY

Bridge: Why The Opportunity Party won't get 5% | Ryan Bridge TODAY <!--mynz:youtube-chapters--> {"v":1,"chapters":[{"timeSeconds":1,"label":"Opportunity Party's Election Chances","summary":"The speaker expresses doubt that the Opportunity Party will reach the 5% threshold to enter parliament. They compare this to past parties that failed to achieve this goal."},{"timeSeconds":25,"label":"New Leader's Background","summary":"The new leader of the Opportunity Party is described as a communicator and an environmental/carbon advisor to businesses. The speaker admits they don't fully understand the advisor role."},{"timeSeconds":37,"label":"The 5% Hurdle Explained","summary":"The main challenge for the Opportunity Party is the timing of the election. As the election approaches, the 'honeymoon period' for new parties often wears off."},{"timeSeconds":52,"label":"Voter Behavior in Polling Booths","summary":"Voters tend to take out insurance by voting for established parties, rather than smaller, newer ones. This is a consistent trend observed over time."},{"timeSeconds":101,"label":"Predicting Election Outcomes","summary":"The speaker suggests that voters are more likely to vote for parties they perceive as stable and capable of forming a government. This means smaller parties face an uphill battle."},{"timeSeconds":111,"label":"Labour and National's Position","summary":"The speaker predicts that Labour and National will perform well, with Labour potentially gaining voters from those who might otherwise consider smaller parties."},{"timeSeconds":121,"label":"Top Parties as a Safe Bet","summary":"The speaker concludes that voters often see the larger, established parties as the 'safest bet', similar to taking out insurance, making it difficult for smaller parties to gain traction."}]} <!--/mynz:youtube-chapters-->